- Chiefs 4-1 (-5.5) @ Bills 4-1 (+5.5) O/U: 56.5 Kickoff 5:00 p.m. EST.
- Cardinals 3-2 (-1) @ Cowboys 2-3 (+1) O/U:55.
- Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in last 10 games vs Bills.
- Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games between Arizona and Dallas.
Buffalo, N.Y. – Week 6 of the 2020 NFL schedule ends with a Monday night doubleheader. Game one features the Kansas Chiefs in Buffalo taking on the Buffalo Bills. This is a rescheduled game from Thursday Night Football and kickoff is at 5:00 p.m. EST.
Your normally scheduled game is a tilt between the Cardinals and Cowboys and you can catch that kickoff at 8:15. With two great matchups and a ton of betting odds and trends to get to let’s dive into the Week 6 MNF Bookie Brief.
Chiefs at Bills 5:00 PM ET – NFL Network and FOX
The road team is a surprising 7-2 ATS in the last nine games the Chiefs and Bills have played. Those nine games did not feature Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen under center. The last matchup in 2017 featured Tyrod Taylor and Alex Smith in a Bills 16-10 win in KC. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 games vs Bills. Another trend that may not be worth much to bettors. Keeping that in mind let’s take a look at some trends that are relevant to tonight’s game.
|Notable Kansas City Chiefs Trends:|
|Chiefs – 8-1 ATS vs. teams with winning record.|
|Chiefs – 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight up loss.|
|Chiefs – 9-2-1 ATS last 12 games as a favorite.|
|Chiefs – 4-0 ATS last 4 games following a ATS loss.|
|Chiefs – 12-3-1 ATS last 16 games overall.|
|Chiefs – 4-1 ATS last 5 games on turf.|
|Chiefs – 4-1 ATS last 5 road games.|
|Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 vs. teams with winning records.|
|Under is 5-1-1 in Chiefs last 7 turf games.|
|Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 road games as favorite.|
|Notable Buffalo Bills Trends:|
|Bills – 6-2-1 ATS vs. teams with winning records.|
|Bills – 5-2 ATS in last 7 games after a ATS loss.|
|Bills – 5-2 ATS in last 7 games after a straight up loss.|
|Bills – 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a home dog.|
|Bills – 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games as a dog.|
|Under is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games after a straight up loss.|
|Over is 4-0-1 in Bills last 5 games after a straight up loss of 14 points or more.|
|Over is 3-1-1 in Bills last 5 vs. teams with winning records.|
|Under is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games as a home dog.|
|Under is 39-19 in Bills last 58 games as Underdog.|
Anytime you have a game with two quarterbacks being talked about as MVPs the public will have a lot of interest. This game is no different. Bovada is offering over 200 wagers on this game that include alternate lines, player prop bets and everything in between.
The Chiefs started the week favored by 3.5 and the O/U was at 55 points at sites for legal sportsbetting, by weeks end the spread was 5.5 and the O/U was 56.5. The moneyline moved a good bit too as the Chiefs went from -180 to -240 and the Bills moved from +160 to +200 throughout the week.
Some of the more popular prop bets deal with first half odds, as well as odds for each quarter of the game. These bets allow handicappers to cherry pick betting lines based on their data and projected game flow. Let’s peak at the odds for these prop bets.
First Half Odds from Bovada:
- Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 (-115) ML (-185) O27.5 (-110)
- Buffalo Bills +3.0 (-105) ML (+140) U27.5 (-110)
1st Quarter Odds from Bovada:
- Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-115) ML (-190) O:10.5 (-115)
- Buffalo Bills +2.5 (-115) ML (+140) U:10.5 (-115)
Player Prop Bets for Chiefs Vs Bills
This game seems like it’s lining up to be a shootout and normally that leads to big passing numbers for both teams.
Total Receiving Yards – Stefon Diggs (BUF):
- 84.5 Over (-115) Under (-115)
Total Receiving Yards – Tyreek Hill (KC):
- 74.5 Over (-115) Under (-115)
Total Passing Yards – Josh Allen (BUF):
- 285.5 Over (-115) Under (-115)
Total Passing Yards – Patrick Mahomes (KC):
- 301.5 Over (-115) Under (-115)
Cardinals at Cowboys 8:15 PM ET – ESPN
This was slated to be a primetime matchup between two up and coming QB’s. Many might argue Dak Prescott had already arrived. After all, Dak still leads the league in passing yards after Matt Ryan’s 371 yards and Deshaun Watson’s 335 yards passing in Week 6 still leave them short of Prescott’s 1856 yards through 5 games.
Arizona got off to a 2-0 start but has struggled the past few weeks. The trends for this game are all over the place with a new QB. Here are some of the better ones.
|Notable Cardinals Trends:|
|Cardinals – 6-2 ATS vs. teams with losing records.|
|Cardinals – 8-2-2 ATS in last 12 road games.|
|Cardinals – 5-2-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.|
|Cardinals – 7-1-1 ATS in last 9 games on fieldturf.|
|Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games.|
|Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games as well.|
|Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a straight-up win.|
|Notable Cowboys Trends:|
|Cowboys – 0-0 against anything with Andy Dalton starting|
|Cowboys – 22-45 ATS in last 67 games as a home favorite.|
|Cowboys – 4-9 ATS last 13 home games vs. team with winning road record.|
|Cowboys – 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.|
|Cowboys – 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.|
|Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 home games.|
|Over is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.|
|Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games as a home favorite.|
The public does not feel as good about Andy Dalton as the bookmakers do as the spread collapsed from -3 to start the week to -1 and looking like a pick’em by kickoff. The Alternate lines offered by Bovada for this game have some interesting options.
If you’d like to take the Cowboys at their opening line of -3 you’re now getting that number at (+115) instead of -1 at (-110). If you feel really strongly about the Cowboys tonight you can stretch that number out and lay -6.5 and take (+170) with it.
The first half and quarter lines are also out and you’re able to take full advantage of them.
- Arizona Cardinals +0.5 (-120) ML: -110 O:26.5 (-120)
- Dallas Cowboys -0.5 (EVEN) ML: -120 Under: 26.5 (EVEN)
Player Prop Bets for Cardinals and Cowboys
The prop bets for the Cardinals and Cowboys have some interesting odds to pick from tonight. One of the standouts is the prop for Zeke. With Dalton under center, it would make sense to see the Dallas pound the rock and feed Elliot all night. Which makes the total yardage prop very intriguing.
Total Rushing and Receiving Yards – Ezekiel Elliott (DAL):
- 125.5 Over (-115) Under (-115)
Total Rushing Attempts in The Game – Ezekiel Elliott (DAL):
- 20.5 Over (-115) Under (-115)
Michael began writing as an NBA content writer and has spent time scouting college basketball for Florida State University under Leonard Hamilton and the University of Alabama under Anthony Grant. A graduate of both schools, he covers topics focused on legal sports betting, betting odds, and casino reviews. Michael likes to golf, play basketball, hike, and kayak when not glued to the TV watching NBA games.