- Jon Rahm is the (+355) betting favorite to win the PGA Tour Championship.
- Patrick Cantlay is close behind with (+375) odds and the -10 score to start the event.
- Justin Thomas could lose some ground as he starts at -4 but has (+1800) odds to win.
ATLANTA – East Lake Golf Course has been the host of the PGA Tour Championship since 2004, which gives sportsbooks plenty of data for predicting which golfers may fare well on the course.
PGA Tour Championship Odds
- Jon Rahm +355
- Patrick Cantlay +375
- Bryson DeChambeau +575
- Tony Finau +750
- Justin Thomas +1800
- Cameron Smith +2500
- Dustin Johnson +2500
- Rory Mcllroy +2500
- Jordan Spieth +2800
- Xander Schauffele +3300
- Abraham Ancer +3500
- Collin Morikawa +4000
- Harris English +4000
- Sam Burns +4000
- Viktor Hovland +4000
- Brooks Koepka +5000
- Louis Oosthuizen +5500
The Format Of The PGA Tour Championship
The PGA Tour Championship is not a regular golf tournament and the format is likely the reasoning behind regulated sports betting sites setting the odds in a much different manner.
Throughout the FedExCup Playoffs, players have been earning points based on their finishing positions. Now, at the final event of the season, the amount of points a player has earned either gives a player an advantage or disadvantage to start the tournament.
Patrick Cantlay earned the most points and thus starts the event with a -10 score, Tony Finau was second in points and starts at -8, Bryson DeChambeau was third and gets a -7 score to start, with the list going on and on.
Furthermore, the event is only made up of 30 competitors who will all play through the weekend as there is no cut after the second round. The golfers in the field will be competing for $60 million in the overall purse.
Which Stats Matter
Over the last three years, all winners ranked inside the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green, Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green, Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee, and Ball-Striking. Approach shots seem to mean less in this event as well as the putting factor.
Which Golfers Are Set Up To Succeed
Jon Rahm (+355)
Jon Rahm has been consistently one of the best golfers in the world this season and currently holds on to the No. 1 overall ranking and does so for good reason. However, Rahm hasn’t only been spectacular this season, but he fits the criteria for the course exceptionally well.
Rahm is 2nd on tour in SG: Off-The-Tee and first in both SG: Tee-To-Green and Ball-Striking. He does lack a bit in SG: Around-The-Green, ranking 64th, but it’s fair to overlook that considering his top rankings in the other categories.
Those betting on golf should note that Rahm will start four shots behind the leader but will surely have his chance to close the gap
Patrick Cantlay (+375)
When someone starts the tournament with a two-stroke lead and isn’t the favorite, there’s going to be a natural inclination to bet on him. With that said, Cantlay is also coming off of a win last weekend in the BMW Championship and fits the course well.
Cantlay is fifth on tour in SG: Tee-To-Green, seventh in SG: Around-The-Green, 14th in SG: Off-The-Tee, and 17th in Ball-Striking. As a side note, Cantlay has the best par 4 scoring in the field, which can’t hurt either.
Justin Thomas (+1800)
Justin Thomas isn’t necessarily the best fit for the course but he always seems to perform well regardless. The worst Thomas has ever placed in the Tour Championship is tied for seventh and he also came in second in both 2020 and 2017 as well as third in 2019. Sportsbooks may be undervaluing him a bit since he’s only starting six shots off the lead.
The Tour Championship runs from September 2-5 and will be broadcast on the NBC and GOLF Networks.
Nick is a sports writer and die-hard sports fan. He graduated from Penn State University with a degree in Broadcast/Journalism. In his free time, he enjoys kicking back and relaxing with a good video game.