- Scottie Scheffler has +330 odds to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational this weekend. It would be his second win on the Tour in 2026.
- Rory McIlroy and Tommy Fleetwood are the only other golfers under +2200.
- Each of the next four golfers paired with Scottie Scheffler gives +250 or better odds.
ORLANDO, Fla. – The Arnold Palmer Invitational kicks off Thursday with tee times starting at 7:40 a.m. ET. Here are the golfers with the shortest odds to win the iconic tournament.
2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds
- Scottie Scheffler +330
- Rory McIlroy +1000
- Tommy Fleetwood +1200
- Collin Morikawa +2200
- Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
- Xander Schauffele +2500
Scottie Scheffler is once again the favorite at legal sports betting sites which comes as a surprise to no one. Scheffler won his first event of the year at The American Express before finishing top four in each of his next two tournaments.
He did not fare so well at last year’s Arnold Palmer Invitational, finishing tied for 11th with a final score of -4. However, Scheffler has won the event twice in his career, taking home the title in 2022 and 2024.
It is safe to say that Scheffler has the best shot to win out of any golfer in the field.
Odds For 2 Chances
- Scottie Scheffler / Rory McIlroy +190
- Scottie Scheffler / Tommy Fleetwood +240
- Scottie Scheffler / Collin Morikawa +250
- Scottie Scheffler / Matt Fitzpatrick +250
For bettors who want a bit of insurance, the option to bet on two golfers to win offers much shorter odds due to the much higher chance of picking a winner.
Rory McIlroy finds himself second behind Scheffler after a resurgent 2025 season. McIlroy has competed in just two events so far this season, finishing tied for 14th at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and second at The Genesis Invitational. He finished tied for 15th at last year’s Arnold Palmer Invitational, but has won the tournament before back in 2018.
Tommy Fleetwood is next up on the list at +240 odds when paired with Scheffler. Fleetwood has just one PGA Tour victory in the eight years since he joined the Tour, but has consistently been one of the better players in the sport.
So far in 2026, Fleetwood finished fourth at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and seventh at The Genesis Invitational, sitting just ahead of McIlroy in the FedEx Cup standings. He has had limited success at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over his career, finishing third in his debut in 2019, but finishing top 10 just once in his six appearances since then and missing the cut twice.
Collin Morikawa started off the year shaky, missing the cut in his first event and finishing outside the top 50 in his second before winning the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and finishing seventh at The Genesis Invitational.
He finished second at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last year, finishing one shot behind Russell Henley.
Matt Fitzpatrick rounds out the top five at PGA Tour betting sites with +250 odds with Scheffler. Fitzpatrick has been decent in 2026, with three top 25 finishes and one top ten finish, but has not truly threatened to win any event. He did not win any events in 2025 and has just two in his six year PGA Tour career thus far.
His best showings at the Arnold Palmer Invitational came in 2021 and 2022 when he finished top ten each time, but has finished no better than 22nd at the event in the past three years.
