• Madden 21 predicted the Kansas City Chiefs beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 37-27.
  • The Chiefs are -165 favorites to win the Super Bowl.
  • Madden’s predictions have been correct in picking the winner 11 out of 17 Super Bowls but only been correct in the exact score once.

TAMPA, Fla. – With Super Bowl 55 only a few days away, the annual NFL Madden simulation occurred where the Big Game is run on the popular videogame to try and predict the winner.

The year, Madden 21 predicts the Kansas City Chiefs beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37-27. The Chiefs are also favored to win at online sportsbooks.

While Madden has successfully predicted the winner in the past, the videogame simulation has gotten the winner wrong a few times. Should legal sports betting participants trust the Madden simulation with their Super Bowl 55 bets?

 

If those betting on Super Bowl 55 are looking to use the Madden prediction as their basis, they should note Madden’s past track record for predicting the winner and the final score.

Madden Prediction History

Super Bowl Year SIM Score Actual Score Winner
Super Bowl 54 Chiefs 35, 49ers 31 Chiefs 31, 49ers 20 Yes
Super Bowl 53 Rams 30, Patriots 27 Patriots 13, Rams 3 No
Super Bowl 52 Patriots 24, Eagles 20 Eagles 41, Patriots 33 No
Super Bowl 51 Patriots 27, Falcons 24 Patriots 34, Falcons 28 Yes
Super Bowl 50 Panthers 24, Broncos 20 Broncos 24, Panthers No
Super Bowl 49 Patriots 28, Seahawks 24 Patriots 28, Seahawks 24 Perfect
Super Bowl 48 Broncos 31, Seahawks 28 Seahawks 43, Broncos 8 No
Super Bowl 47 Ravens 27, 49ers 24 Ravens 34, 49ers 31 Yes
Super Bowl 46 Giants 27, Patriots 24 Giants 21, Patriots 17 Yes
Super Bowl 45 Steelers 24, Packers 20 Packers 31, Steelers 25 No
Super Bowl 44 Saints 35, Colts 31 Saints 31, Colts 17 Yes
Super Bowl 43 Steelers 28, Cardinals 24 Steelers 27, Cardinals 23 Yes
Super Bowl 42 Patriots 38, Giants 30 Giants 17, Patriots 14 No
Super Bowl 41 Colts 38, Bears 27 Colts 29, Bears 17 Yes
Super Bowl 40 Steelers 24, Seahawks 19 Steelers 21, Seahawks 10 Yes
Super Bowl 39 Patriots 47, Eagles 31 Patriots 24, Eagles 21 Yes
Super Bowl 38 Patriots 23, Panthers 20 Patriots 32, Panthers 29 Yes

For the straight win, Madden has been correct 11 out of the 17 seasons the prediction has been active. That is a 64.7% win rate. This is not a bad basis for NFL bettors to look towards when betting on the Money Line.

Madden picking the Chiefs is not that farfetched, however, as the Chiefs are the current favorites at online sportsbooks and Madden historically leans towards the favorite in its simulation.

Super Bowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

  • Moneyline: Chiefs -165, Buccaneers +145
  • Spread: Chiefs -3
  • Totals: Over/Under 56.0

The 37-27 final score shows that Madden 21 has the Chiefs easily covering the spread, and has the totals hitting the Over. Madden’s scores in the past have varied from either being too high or too low.

Madden has only predicted the final score correct once with Super Bowl 49, in the 17 years, the simulation has occurred. That is a 0.05% accuracy rating. Those betting on the final score may want to ignore the Madden results this year.

Madden has Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes winning Super Bowl MVP. Mahomes is also the favorite to win at legal sports betting sites.

Super Bowl LV – MVP Winner

  • Patrick Mahomes-120
  • Tom Brady+200
  • Travis Kelce+1000
  • Tyreek Hill+1000
  • Leonard Fournette+2500

According to the Madden simulation, Mahomes will end the game by scoring four TD’s off of 422 passing yards. Buccaneers QB Tom Brady scored three TD’s and has 332 passing yards and one interception in the game.

Players shouldn’t base their player prop betting off of the simulation, however, as Madden is still a videogame. The Simulation doesn’t account for player error, nerves, or will to win. These cannot be simulated virtually.

So the question remains, should sports bettors look to the Madden 21 simulation for betting on the actual game? Outside of taking the Moneyline, where the simulation just picked the favorite Chiefs to win anyways, it may be a better bet to ignore the results altogether.

News tags: | | | | | | | | |