- Quarter 2 of the French Open is a death zone for the women, featuring Swiatek, Rybakina, Ostapenko, and more, making Iga a risky outright bet at +350 odds.
- Coco Gauff’s soft draw and strong clay form make her the best value at +450 odds to win the 2025 French Open.
PARIS – The 2025 French Open women’s draw has shaken up the outright betting board, putting top players on divergent paths. While Iga Swiatek faces a brutal gauntlet in Quarter 2, Coco Gauff benefits from a wide-open quarter that boosts her title chances.
Quarter 2
Every year, one section of the Grand Slam draw gets labeled the “group of death.” In 2025, there’s no debate that it’s Quarter 2, and it’s an outright slaughterfest.
Iga Swiatek, Jasmine Paolini, Elena Rybakina, Marta Kostyuk, Jelena Ostapenko, Donna Vekic, Emma Raducanu, Rebecca Sramkova, and Belinda Bencic are just some of the names on this side of the bracket.
With this, it makes sense to fade Iga Swiatek. No doubt she’s one of the French Open betting favorites (+350), but she lost at Stuttgart in QF to Jalena Ostapenko, lost in SF to Coco Gauff in Madrid, and lost in Round of 32 to Danielle Collins in Rome.
Even her projected path for the French Open doesn’t bode confidence.
- R1: Sramkova
- R2: Raducanu
- R3: Kostyuk
- R4: Rybakina or Ostapenko
- QF: Paolini or Svitolina
- SF: Sabalenka or Zheng
- Final: Gauff or Pegula
Despite sitting second on legal sports betting sites at +350, Iga’s form hasn’t inspired full confidence, so fade Iga.
Better Bets: Andreeva and Pegula
Mirra Andreeva has an easy route, but her +600 futures odds aren’t where they need to be. Because of the draw, these odds shortened, so it’s best to bet on her every game and roll over some of the winnings.
At +5000, Jesica Pegula is worth a sprinkle – even a $10 tennis bet would net $500 in winnings – looking at her quarter. But she has had very little success on clay this season, going 1-1 in each of the clay tournaments (Rome, Brazil, and Stuttgart). While she did win in Charleston, her route was easy, only facing one top 25 player in the tournament.
Best Bet: Coco Gauff
Unlike Quarter 2, Quarter 4 is a different world: soft, wide open, and ripe for the taking. Coco Gauff’s toughest test before the semis? Likely Alexandrova. That’s it. And the draw couldn’t come at a better time. Coco has been knocking on the door all clay season:
- Finalist in Rome (L to Paolini)
- Finalist in Madrid (L to Sabalenka, but beat Swiatek 6-1, 6-1 in the semis)
- QF in Stuttgart (L to Paolini)
Plus, she’s taken care of business against rising star Mirra Andreeva (beating her in straight sets in both Madrid and Rome).
With the draw this kind and the form she’s in, Coco at +450 is the best outright French Open bet on the board. If she makes the final, you’ll love the hedge options.
Women’s French Open Odds (Top 18)
- Aryna Sabalenka +275
- Iga Swiatek +350
- Coco Gauff +450
- Mirra Andreeva +600
- Jasmine Paolini +1400
- Qinwen Zheng +2000
- Elena Rybakina +3300
- Madison Keys +3300
- Elina Svitolina +4000
- Jelena Ostapenko +4000
- Naomi Osaka +4000
- Amanda Anisimova +5000
- Emma Navarro +5000
- Jessica Pegula +5000
- Ons Jabeur +5000
- Diana Shnaider +6600
- Karolina Muchova +6600
- Danielle Collins +8000
- Fun Fact: Qinwen Zheng finds herself in the same quarter as Aryna Sabalenka, yet again. It’s a repeat clash brewing that bettors should circle. Sabalenka is the favorite at +275, while Zheng sits at +2000 odds. For Zheng backers, a QF moneyline bet might make more sense than a bet on Zheng to win the 2025 French Open.
