Gubernatorial Betting

Futures: Betting To Win Gubernatorial Election

Every bet on the Gubernatorial Election can be seen as a futures bet because gamblers place their wagers prior to the beginning of the election. This is why futures are the most common way to get some political action in on Governor’s races because they make up the bulk of offerings on the topic. Typically, these bets are centered around a nominee’s chances of winning as well as a particular party’s chances.

Betting Odds On The 2022 Governor Races

• Arizona
• Katie Hobbs(D) -140
• Kari Lake(R) +100

The past two Gubernational elections have ended with a Republican in office as Arizona’s Governor, but betting odds are giving Katie Hobbs(D) a strong chance to end that streak. The previous governor, Doug Ducey, completed the maximum two consecutive terms after winning a 53.4% majority in 2014 and a 56.0% majority in 2018. Despite that swelling support for Republican Ducey over the two elections, it appears public perception has shifted to favor Democrat Katie Hobbs.

• Georgia
• Brian Kemp(R) -500
• Stacey Abrams(D) +300

Georgia primaries have resulted in a Republican governor in every race since 2002, and that streak appears well on its way to continuing with Brian Kemp in 2022. The state’s Democrats, led by Stacey Abrams, are looking to restart a streak of blue that was broken by the 2002 race that spanned more than 100 years.

• Kansas
• Derek Schmidt(R) -165
• Laura Kelly(D) +125

Gubernatorial odds in Kansas indicate that the race between Derek Schmidt(R) and Laura Kelly(D) has gotten much closer over time. At one point Schmidt had -400 odds to defeat Kely who was a longshot at +250. It is likely that the recent announcement made by Laura Kelly that a launch date for legal sports betting in Kansas was announced by her during this election cycle to begin on September 8th, which is the opening date for the NFL season.

• Maine
• Janet Mills(D) -400
• Paul LePage(R) +250

Legal Gubernational betting sites have given Janet Mills a strong chance of beating out Republican Paul LePage and continuing onto her second term as governor. Mills’ odds are helped by the recent legalization of sports betting in the Pine Tree State and Maine’s history of repeat governors. The last governor in Maine to not serve two consecutive terms was James Bernard Longley from 1975-1979.

• Michigan
• Gretchen Whitmer(D) -600
• Tudor Dixon(R) +350

Michigan had been a red state prior to Gretchen Whitmer(D) winning the 2018 election, with Gubernational betting odds suggesting that it is likely to stay blue through the upcoming election. Whitmer is favored to continue as governor, with her odds shifting from -200 earlier in the cycle to repeat to their current heavy favorite status. That heavy favorite status is not a surprise to many, as it is common for incumbents to get re-elected.

• Nevada
• Steve Sisolak(D) -130
• Joe Lombardo(R) -110

The betting odds on Nevada’s Gubernational race have flipped over time, as Republicans were originally favored with -140 odds. Incumbent Democrat Steve Sisolak has gained some support throughout the state, enough so that he is now the betting favorite over Republican Joe Lombardo. Prior to Sisolak, Nevada has been a red state under previous governor Brian Sandoval’s two terms.

• New York
• Kathy Hochul(D) -5000
• Lee Zeldin(R) +1200

The 2022 Gubernational election marks the 20-year anniversary of the last Republican to win an election as New York’s governor, with betting odds indicating that is extremely unlikely to change during this cycle. Kathy Hochul on August 21st after took over as governor after Andrew Cuomo resigned amid sexual harassment allegations. Her competition in 2022, Joe Lombardo(R), is a U.S. Representative.

• Pennsylvania
• Josh Shapiro(D) -500
• Doug Mastriano(R) +300

Gubernatorial betting odds indicate that Democrat Josh Shapiro(-500) will likely beat out Republican Doug Mastriano(+300) to take over as governor of The Keystone State. Former governor Tom Wolf has completed his two-term maximum limit, with his attorney general, Josh Shapiro, attempting to replace him.

• Texas
• Greg Abbot(R) -900
• Beto O’Rourke(D) +500

Greg Abbot(R) is poised to continue as governor of Texas, at least according to Gubernational betting odds. Abbot is the incumbent, having served two terms as Texas’s governor ever since January 20th, 2015. Texas has not had a Democrat in office since Dorothy Ann Willis Richards from 1991-1995. Gubernatorial sportsbooks are not giving Democrat Beto O’Rourke a strong chance of ending that streak.

• Wisconsin
• Tony Evers(D) -160
• Tim Michels(R) +120

Wisconsin has a strong history of incumbents getting re-elected, no matter the political party. Jim Doyle(Democrat who served 2003-2011) and Scott Walker(Republican who served 2011-2019) both repeated as governor of Wisconsin, with Gubernational betting sites giving incumbent Democrat Tony Evers a strong chance of continuing that streak over Republican Tim Michels.

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