- The Boston Celtics may be the best bet to lead the NBA wins next season on the backs of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown.
- Tatum and Brown are the most likely set of teammates to stay healthy compared to other top contenders due to history and youth.
- Boston has some adversity to overcome, but in-house solutions are viable solutions to many of their problems.
BOSTON – An offseason of drama has not affected how legal sports betting sites view the reigning Eastern Conference Champion Boston Celtics, with sportsbooks giving the Jayson Tatum-led team the shortest odds to lead the league in regular season wins.
Most Regular Season Wins In The NBA
- Boston Celtics +400
- Los Angeles Clippers +550
- Golden State Warriors +650
- Brooklyn Nets +650
- Phoenix Suns +750
- Milwaukee Bucks +800
Betting on Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown
The odds, provided by Bovada, likely are based on the age of Boston’s foundational pieces relative to other top teams as Jayson Tatum is 24 years old and Jaylen Brown is 26.
NBA sportsbooks surely took their age, and relatively limited injury history that comes with that, into account when comparing odds.
Each of the six teams with the shortest odds is led by former NBA All-Stars, although each team has some concerns related with their age and potential health status:
- Boston Celtics: As stated earlier, Tatum and Brown are relatively young, but proven All-Stars. Tatum has played in the past three All-Star games and made First Team All-NBA last season. Brown has one All-Star appearance and has averaged at least 20 points per game for the past three seasons.
- Los Angeles Clippers: Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are both likely Hall-of-Famers, but they are both at least 31 and have shown an inability to stay healthy in the latter half of their NBA career. Leonard missed all of last season and has not played 70 games once in the past five seasons. George has played three seasons with the Clippers, with his highest games played total with the franchise being 54.
- Golden State Warriors: Built around their legendary big three of Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and Klay Thompson, the last time any of them played 70 games or more was Thompson during the 2018-2019 season. With the defending champions likely to focus on rest and health heading into the playoffs, it is unlikely the Warriors play their stars enough to lead the league in wins.
- Brooklyn Nets: Kevin Durant, the Brooklyn Nets foundational piece who has dealt with plenty of drama regarding his desire to play for the team, played more games than Ben Simmons and Kyrie Irving combined last season with 55 games. Of course, Simmons did not play at all last season and Kyrie dealt with vaccine issues, but the last time either of them played 70 games was Simmons in 2018-2019. Irving has not played 70 games since his last season as a member of the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2016-17.
- Phoenix Suns: The league leader in wins last season, the Sun’s players not only have to contend with the pending sale of the franchise looming over their heads, but also the likelihood that the team will rest their players a lot this season after seeing them burn out in the playoffs. Devin Booker is heading into his prime at 25 years old, but his backcourt mate Chris Paul is heading into his age 37 season.
- Milwaukee Bucks: The Milwaukee Bucks may be the best challenger to bet on not only because of their long +800 odds to lead the league in wins but simply because they are led by Giannis Antetokounmpo. Giannis has not played 70 games since 2018-19, but he has played at least 60 games every season of his career. Heading into his age 28 season, “The Greek Freak” has not averaged less than 26.9 points, 10 rebounds, and 4.8 assists since he was 22 years old. Considering that consistent dominance over the past three seasons, and his support from other recent All-Stars by way of Khris Middleton (31) and Jrue Holiday (28), Milwaukee at the very least represents a strong contender to lead the league in wins.
Betting on the Boston Celtics
On top of the youth of their two core players, the Boston Celtics may be the best contender to lead the league in wins at legal sports betting sites because of the dominance their team showed after the All-Star break last season. The Celtics led the league in winning percentage at 77.3% with a record of 17-5.
If the Boston Celtics were to keep up that win rate that they showed after the All-Star break, that would equate to 63 wins and 19 losses. 63 wins would have been one less than the Phoenix Suns last season, who led the league in the category.
With Phoenix likely taking a step back, the main questions for the Celtics to lead the league in wins and go over their league-leading regular season win total which is set at 53.5 games revolve around health and coaching.
The Celtics starting center, Robert Williams is out for 8-12 weeks, which may be tough for many teams to overcome. For the Celtics, the blow hurts, but their ability to shift Al Horford to the five may help mitigate the issue.
On the coaching front, Joe Mazzulla steps in for Ime Udoka who has been suspended for the season. The Celtics did great things under Udoka, but Mazzulla was on the staff and understands the core principles that made Boston great at the end of the season.
With the Celtics still based around those core ideas under Joe Mazzulla, it is likely they lead the league in wins and go over their regular season win total.
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Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.