- The Senate race is expected to be tight, with Republicans (-130) and Democrats (EVEN) both having good odds to win a majority of seats.
- Democrats (-275) are heavily favored to win a majority of the 435 House of Representatives seats over Republicans (+200).
- Republicans have held a Senate majority since 2014, while the Democrats have held a House majority since the 2018 midterm elections.
WASHINGTON – With election season in full swing and few sports to bet on, bookies have expanded their political betting options to include not just the presidential election, but odds for the balance of power between the two chambers of Congress.
The mystique surrounding the Democratic primary elections has largely disappeared as former Vice President Joe Biden has taken a commanding lead. Instead, the focus has shifted to Congress, which could experience monumental change during this election cycle.
During the general election in November, there will be 35 Senate seats up for election, along with all 435 seats of the House of Representatives. Sportsbooks are now offering political betting odds on top of their presidential election odds for which party will control both the House and Senate after the election.
During the 2018 midterm elections, Democrats won a House majority for the first time since 2010, while Republicans continue to hold a narrow majority in the Senate, as they have since 2014.
The current odds on the balance of Congressional power in 2020 are:
U.S. Senate Control:
- Republicans -130
- Democrats EVEN
U.S. House of Representatives Control:
- Democrats -275
- Republicans +200
House and Senate Balance of Power:
- Democratic House, Republican Senate +120
- Democratic House, Democratic Senate +150
- Republican House, Republican Senate +350
- Republican House, Democratic Senate +10000
Congressional Elections To Follow
It is difficult to follow hundreds of different election races, but most Congressional elections have essentially been decided at this point. Instead of trying to follow every race, it makes more sense to track the results of a few dozen battleground elections.
270toWin, a website that specializes in predicting election results, projects only four of 35 Senate seats as true toss-ups that could go either way, and only 21 of 435 House seats that follow that same category.
If expanded to include districts that lean only slightly one way or another, those number increase to 10 Senate seats and 49 House seats.
In the Senate, the key battleground elections will be in Arizona, Colorado, North Carolina, and Maine. All four are currently held by Republican incumbents. The Republican party holds a six-seat lead in the Senate, so it would be an uphill battle for the Democrats to flip it.
Three states feature multiple toss-up elections for the House of Representatives—Texas, Iowa, and Illinois.
Best Bets For Division Of Power In Congress In 2020
With Coronavirus sweeping the country and creating so much chaos and uncertainty, projecting the future is difficult, which reflects in the odds.
The most likely outcome is that both the House and Senate will hold serve and maintain their current majorities, but that could shift dramatically as the landscape of the country itself does.
COVID-19 is a crisis on a scale that the world hasn’t seen in a long time, and the results of November’s election will likely swing based on each party’s response to it.
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News tags: 270toWin | Arizona | Colorado | Congress | Coronavirus | COVID-19 | Democrat | Democratic Party | Democratic Primary | House of Representatives | Illinois | Iowa | Joe Biden | Maine | North Carolina | Republican | Republican Party | Senate | Texas
With a dual background in English and sports performance and business analytics, Carter aims to write stories that both engage and inform the reader. He prides himself on his ability to interweave empirical data and traditional narrative storytelling. When he isn’t keeping readers up to date on the latest sports betting legal news, he’s banging his head against a wall regretting his decision to be a Tampa Bay Buccaneers fan.